Possible Impacts on Agriculture by 2025 Second Trump Administration

Possible Impacts on Agriculture by 2025 Second Trump Administration

Project 2025 authored by Trump insiders and is widely believed to be a blueprint for his next administration and the signposts point to these likely outcomes:

High tariffs and a new trade war. Trump’s obsession with tariffs promises to raise consumer prices, increase farmers’ costs, and reignite the agricultural trade wars that marked his first term. That trade chaos hit US commodity farmers hard.

A mass deportation initiative that will target many farmworkers. Deporting 11 million undocumented immigrants—and even seeking to remove legal immigrants and denaturalize US citizens—was one of Trump’s most oft-repeated promises on the campaign trail. These plans would be extraordinarily damaging to a food system that relies heavily on immigrant workers, destabilizing local economies and driving up food prices for all of us.

Fresh attacks on USDA food assistance and healthy eating programs. President Trump’s first term was marked by multiple attempts by the administration and its congressional allies to restrict access to food assistance programs like the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP, formerly food stamps) and school meal programs.

Cuts to highly effective, in-demand farm conservation programs. Our industrial model of agriculture is environmentally damaging and has created massive soil erosion and water pollution problems. USDA conservation programs are popular with farmers and effective at reducing pollution, but they are underfunded.

Erasing climate action from the USDA’s mission. While the Biden administration prioritized climate action, President-elect Trump still proudly calls climate change a hoax. His first-term war on climate action included burying a USDA climate response plan. The Project 2025 authors have egged him on and called on the next agriculture secretary to eliminate all official references to transforming our food and farm system and to “remove obstacles that hinder food production, which will in some way be beneficial for agricultural production.

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